Policy Impact Simulation Engine (PISE-v2)
Pre-legislative impact modeling with configurable scenario parameters
Simulates impact of reducing regulatory barriers for agricultural-to-non-agricultural land conversion in designated peri-urban zones, with environmental buffer mandates.
Scenario Parameters
0%
-30%50%
15%
5%35%
90days
30days180days
Baseline
Projected Revenue Delta
+₹420 Cr/yr
Arable Buffer Loss
-3.4%
Projected Litigation Rate
-14.2%
Year-by-Year Impact Projections
| Year | Arable Land Loss (%) | Stamp Duty Intake (₹ Cr) | Litigation Filings | Industrial Footprint (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | +0.8% | +112 | 2,840 | +1.2% |
| Y2 | +1.6% | +248 | 2,510 | +2.8% |
| Y3 | +2.4% | +380 | 2,280 | +4.1% |
| Y4 | +3% | +410 | 2,100 | +5.6% |
| Y5 | +3.4% | +420 | 1,940 | +6.8% |
Policy Risk Factor Synthesis
Groundwater Table DepletionHighEnvironmental
Accelerated conversion may reduce recharge zones by 12-18% in targeted corridors.
Revenue Concentration RiskMediumFiscal
Stamp duty gains concentrated in 3-4 districts; fiscal exposure if market correction occurs.
Section 10A Compliance GapCriticalLegal
Current draft lacks adequate safeguards for tenant farmer eviction under existing state tenancy laws.
Displacement of Marginal FarmersHighSocial
Estimated 14,000 marginal farmer households in target zone lack alternative livelihood pathways.